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2024-12-13 23:06:47

CITIC Securities: Potential policies such as consumer vouchers are expected to give birth to a staged turning point in catering demand. According to the research report of CITIC Securities, domestic consumer demand has been sluggish since 2023, and the price of the catering industry has entered a downward channel. How will China catering enterprises behave at this moment? The experience of Japanese restaurant enterprises may provide some enlightenment. Although the differences between macro and national conditions prevent China from simply repeating the price war of Japanese catering and its impact, the catering competition in high-speed cities in China is similar to that in Japan in structure. The research report believes that the change of restaurant supply and CPI performance can be used as a forward-looking indicator to judge when the current price war will end, while potential policies such as consumer vouchers are expected to give birth to catering demand and form a stage turning point. Two main lines are recommended: 1) Mature catering enterprises pay attention to the same-store sales and valuation improvement brought about by the rebound of CPI, while enterprises with serious decline in same-store sales before have higher performance and valuation resilience. 2) Growing catering enterprises pay more attention to the rhythm of income growth and profit release.CICC: Inflation in the United States may push the "hawks to cut interest rates". The CICC research report said that inflation data opened the door for the Fed to cut interest rates next week, but we also predicted that the "hawks to cut interest rates" will be staged next week, and the Fed may cut the guidance on interest rate cuts in the bitmap. We predict that the new bitmap will show that the total interest rate will be cut twice in 2025 (compared with four times before), and the federal funds rate will be lowered to a neutral level of 3.75% to 4% by the end of the second quarter of next year.CITIC Securities: The resonance between supply and demand of medical beauty accelerates the space expansion, and the difference in operating ability promotes the evolution of the industry structure. CITIC Securities Research Report stated that the medical beauty industry has both medical and consumption attributes, and the medical attribute has strong product-driven characteristics, while the consumption attribute has high operating ability requirements. The medical beauty botulinum toxin track is also affected by the dual attributes of medicine and consumption: 1) The increase in penetration rate, the acceleration of compliance substitution and the extension of indications have brought about high demand for medical beauty botulinum toxin, and with the recent supply expansion, the industry scale has experienced high growth; 2) The iteration of product innovation is slow, brand barriers are created through marketing, doctors are empowered through direct sales, and control is strengthened to enhance product competitiveness. Recently, a variety of medical botulinum toxins in China have been approved, and the promotion of low-priced products is expected to push up the penetration rate, and enterprises with strong operational capabilities will enter the market or promote the evolution of the pattern.


The tenth batch of national procurement officially opened, and the number of enterprises and varieties involved reached a record high. The tenth batch of centralized drug procurement organized by the state officially accepted the application materials of enterprises at 8: 00 this morning at No.398 Zhanyuan Road, Nanqiao New Town, Fengxian District, Shanghai. This centralized procurement involved 62 varieties and 263 product specifications, and the number of enterprises and varieties involved reached a record high. Among them, 33 enterprises competed for nine short-listed oral sustained-release formulations of sitagliptin. There are also a number of varieties that are billions in the market of public hospitals, such as doxorubicin hydrochloride liposome injection, cefoperazone injection, piperacillin injection, compound α -ketoacid oral sustained-release dosage form, norepinephrine injection and aspirin oral sustained-release dosage form. The sales scale in sample hospitals last year all exceeded 2 billion yuan. Hengrui Pharma, Kelun Pharmaceutical, Unacon and Zhengda Tianqing participated with many varieties. Note: According to the tenth batch of national adoption documents released before, the tenth batch of national adoption rules have changed a lot, such as canceling the protection mechanism of 50% price reduction and increasing the fuse recovery mechanism by 1.8 times, and the number of B-certified enterprises affects the number of final finalists.Huatai Securities looks forward to the communication industry in 2025: embrace the trend of AI/ satellite industry and allocate core assets. When looking forward to the communication industry in 2025, Huatai Securities said that it is optimistic about three main investment lines: 1) Continue to embrace the industry trend, and with the progress of commercialization of AI computing chain and satellite Internet, we are optimistic about investment opportunities in related sub-sectors; 2) New quality productivity: low-altitude industries or the opening of provincial and municipal infrastructure construction, the domestic quantum communication industry is expected to go from 0 to 1, and the commercial aviation scene will be accelerated; 3) revaluation of core assets: with the improvement of market liquidity, leading enterprises with long-term competitiveness and performance toughness are expected to usher in opportunities for valuation improvement; In addition, the merger and reorganization of central state-owned enterprises is expected to promote more high-quality enterprises to complete the process of capitalization and play a positive role in the valuation of the sector.Huichuan Technology: The company has made great efforts to broaden the products and applications of six-axis robots, and the six-axis robots with small loads have achieved mass sales. Huichuan Technology said on the interactive platform that the company has made great efforts to broaden the products and applications of six-axis robots, and the six-axis robots with small loads have achieved mass sales, and the six-axis robots with medium and large loads have begun to form mass sales.


South Korean President Yin Xiyue made a speech to the people on the 12th, accusing the opposition party of framing "the crime of civil strife" and engaging in impeachment. (Xinhua News Agency)The Economic Committee of the Colombian Congress rejected the tax reform proposed by the government to fund the 2025 budget.Brazilian farmers' lobby demanded the lifting of the ban on planting soybeans in the deforested Amazon rainforest. A Brazilian farmers' lobby is seeking to terminate a 20-year-old agreement that prohibits grain traders from buying soybeans from deforested farms in the Amazon rainforest, claiming that the agreement has created an unfair competition environment. Aprosoja-MT, a soybean farmers' lobbying organization located in western Mato Grosso, said on Wednesday that the agreement encouraged "purchasing cartels" and harmed the interests of farmers who strictly abide by the forest laws of South American countries. The statement said that it had formally asked the anti-monopoly watchdog CADE to terminate the agreement.

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